Articles. Who will abolish sanctions first, Russia or the United States?
(Alessandro San Giorgio)
Perhaps the most outstanding world master of this genre was the great Harry Harrison
(Henry Maxwell Dempsey), who passed away 5 years ago. Let's imagine that Russia immediately
unilaterally introduces the most favored nation treatment in trade with the US now and
abolishes all retaliatory sanctions with the United States, and later with the EU. Science
fiction? But there is nothing to stop looking in the mind's eye into the possible future and
even to calculate possible benefits or damages, and then to become authors of the alternative
history in the real life. Historically, a significant trade turnover was the basis of
particularly friendly relations between Russia and the United States. Everything begins with
trade, followed by investment. Authoritative voices are often heard that Russia did not come
up with sanctions. It is not Russia who initiated them. But if so, why Russia plays the
international adventure game, initially giving the initiative to the opponent. Russia is not
in the sporting form to give someone a head start. Moreover, this is not a game, but a
political play. And Russia does not know either the scenario with the content of the next act,
or the director. From retaliatory sanctions, Russian companies suffer losses not less than US
and European companies from sanctions. Russia in general can declare the introduction of the
gold standard, and this, even at the level of expectations, will completely undermine the
entire world monetary system, and everyone will not be up to the sanctions. It's high time
to pay attention to the fact that US companies strictly comply with the sanctions, even with
exaggerated zeal and caution, while companies from other countries meanwhile, without
competition from the Americans, quietly occupy the market share of American companies in
Russia (and receive record dividends in Russia) and the share of Russian companies in the
US markets. Thus, sanctions are a gross violation of the rules of free competition on the
market by the US government against their own US companies in favor of foreign companies.
At the same time, other countries with consistent anti-Russian rhetoric are also consistently
using the US government and the US Congress against American companies. The abolition of
Russia's response sanctions may recall Mr. Gandhi's policy of not resisting evil with violence
or N.Mandel's peaceful struggle with apartheid. However, the above factors make such
alternative history even more effective, and in the shortest possible time. The vector of the
opponent's efforts is redirected and ... Zansin. But why Russia always considers the country
as a rival, not a friend and ally, which Russia helped itself 200 years ago to become a great
There is a unique genre in the science fiction literature, the only one that S. King
and R. Bradbury didn't write. And this is the alternative history.
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